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WS Wanderers B vs Sydney Olympic Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, July 4, 2026, 05:00

WS Wanderers B

PPG 0.73 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sydney Olympic

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-13.6%0-22.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.8%1-18.4%1-24.5%1-31.6%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.0%2-19.7%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.9%3-17.5%3-24.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-17.4%4+-24.0%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.6% 46.5% 2.15 +23.8%

Draw 22.3% 28.2% 3.55 -12.5%

Away win 20.1% 35.1% 2.85 -25.6%

Over 2.5 63.9% 65.4% 1.53 -2.2%

Over 3.5 41.3% 42.6% 2.35 -2.9%

BTTS 62.1% 69.4% 1.44 -10.6%

Home O1.5 61.2% 55.6% 1.80 +10.2%

Away O1.5 35.9% 47.6% 2.10 -24.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 91 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -13.3%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob62.1%

H 58% / xG 2.3-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1✓ 9.7%

#2 1–1 8.4%

#3 2–0 9.0%

#4 3–1 7.5%

#5 3–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

WS Wanderers B2.3

Sydney Olympic1.1

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 41.3%

Form & verdict PPG

WS WANDERERS B · PPG 0.73

SYDNEY OLYMPIC · PPG 0.91

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.73), Away POOR (0.91)

Win probability 1X2

WS Wanderers B (H) 57.6%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +23.8%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -12.5%

Sydney Olympic (A) 20.1%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -25.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

WS Wanderers B face Sydney Olympic in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives WS Wanderers B a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Sydney Olympic 20%, so WS Wanderers B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for WS Wanderers B and 1.1 for Sydney Olympic (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, WS Wanderers B are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 0.91 for Sydney Olympic. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +53.9%. This match finished 2-1.

WS Wanderers B vs Sydney Olympic Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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