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Newcastle Jets II vs Hills Brumbies Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 07:00

Newcastle Jets II

PPG 0.82 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hills Brumbies

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.35 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-13.1%0-23.6%0-32.8%0-4+2.9%1 1-02.6%1-16.2%1-27.2%1-35.6%1-4+5.7%2 2-02.6%2-16.1%2-27.1%2-35.6%2-4+5.6%3 3-01.7%3-14.1%3-24.7%3-33.7%3-4+3.7%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-13.2%4+-23.7%4+-32.9%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 42.0% — — —

Over 2.5 67.2% — — —

Over 3.5 49.7% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 55.7% — — —

Away O1.5 67.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob69.5%

A 42% / xG 2.0-2.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.2%

#2 2–2 7.1%

#3 1–1 6.2%

#4 2–1 6.1%

#5 1–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Newcastle Jets II2.0

Hills Brumbies2.3

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 49.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NEWCASTLE JETS II · PPG 0.82

HILLS BRUMBIES · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.35 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Newcastle Jets II (H) 36.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hills Brumbies (A) 42.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Newcastle Jets II face Hills Brumbies in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Newcastle Jets II a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Hills Brumbies 42%, so Hills Brumbies are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Newcastle Jets II and 2.3 for Hills Brumbies (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Newcastle Jets II are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 1.54 for Hills Brumbies.

Newcastle Jets II vs Hills Brumbies Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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