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Dulwich Hill vs Mt Druitt Town Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 07:00

Dulwich Hill

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Mt Druitt Town

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.5% vs bookmaker-implied 69.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-17.0%0-25.2%0-32.6%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.4%1-111.0%1-28.2%1-34.0%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.8%2-18.6%2-26.4%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.0%3-14.5%3-23.3%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.5%4+-21.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.9% 44.4% 2.25 -8.0%

Draw 24.8% 26.7% 3.75 -4.2%

Away win 34.3% 40.0% 2.50 -14.2%

Over 2.5 61.1% 65.4% 1.53 -6.5%

Over 3.5 39.5% 44.4% 2.25 -11.1%

BTTS 62.5% 69.9% 1.43 -10.6%

Home O1.5 48.4% 54.6% 1.83 -11.4%

Away O1.5 49.0% 49.5% 2.02 -1.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.5%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 0–0 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dulwich Hill1.6

Mt Druitt Town1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DULWICH HILL · PPG 1.00

MT DRUITT TOWN · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dulwich Hill (H) 40.9%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -8.0%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -4.2%

Mt Druitt Town (A) 34.3%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -14.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dulwich Hill face Mt Druitt Town in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dulwich Hill a 41% chance, the draw 25% and Mt Druitt Town 34%, so Dulwich Hill are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Dulwich Hill and 1.5 for Mt Druitt Town (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dulwich Hill are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.67 for Mt Druitt Town.

Dulwich Hill vs Mt Druitt Town Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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