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Sutherland S. vs Blacktown City Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 19 Seymour Shaw Park Saturday, June 13, 2026 07:30
Sutherland S. logo Sutherland S. PPG 1.50
VS PENDING
Blacktown City logo Blacktown City PPG 0.89
Home· +16.4% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sutherland S. face Blacktown City in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sutherland S. a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Blacktown City 23%, so Sutherland S. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sutherland S. and 1.3 for Blacktown City (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sutherland S. are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.89 for Blacktown City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +16.4%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.9%
Odds: 2.20 EV: +16.4%
Draw 23.9%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -8.4%
Away 23.2%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -22.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.0% Odds: 1.62 -6.0%
Over 3.5 37.1% Odds: 2.60 -3.5%
BTTS 55.7% Odds: 1.50 -16.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Sutherland S.
1.84
Blacktown City
1.26

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -6.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 45%
Score Hit 43%
ROI 9.6%
Bet Hit 67% (15 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.89)

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