NWS Spirit vs Sydney Olympic Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 19 Christie Park· Sydney Saturday, June 13, 2026 07:30

NWS Spirit PPG 1.33

VS PENDING

Sydney Olympic PPG 0.78

Away· +21.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

NWS Spirit face Sydney Olympic in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NWS Spirit a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Sydney Olympic 28%, so NWS Spirit are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for NWS Spirit and 1.1 for Sydney Olympic (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NWS Spirit are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.78 for Sydney Olympic. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.2%

Odds: 1.53 EV: -29.3%

Draw 25.5%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +4.3%

Away 28.3%

Odds: 4.80 EV: +21.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.9% Odds: 1.57 -23.2%

Over 3.5 29.4% Odds: 2.45 -16.8%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.62 -15.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-0

4th 0-0

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

NWS Spirit

1.58

Sydney Olympic

1.11

Model SuggestionBTTS -15.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+21.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 45%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 9.6%

Bet Hit 67% (15 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.78)