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Dianella WE vs Western Knights Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 07:00

Dianella WE

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Western Knights

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-14.5%0-24.3%0-32.7%0-4+2.0%1 1-04.3%1-18.2%1-27.9%1-35.1%1-4+3.8%2 2-03.9%2-17.6%2-27.3%2-34.7%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.4%3-14.6%3-24.5%3-32.9%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-13.2%4+-23.1%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.7% 43.5% 2.30 -8.7%

Draw 22.3% 29.4% 3.40 -14.5%

Away win 38.0% 40.0% 2.50 -5.0%

Over 2.5 65.8% 69.4% 1.44 -5.3%

Over 3.5 42.9% 50.0% 2.00 -14.2%

BTTS 65.8% 73.5% 1.36 -10.5%

Home O1.5 58.6% 55.6% 1.80 +5.5%

Away O1.5 49.4% 54.6% 1.83 -9.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob65.8%

A 38% / xG 1.8-1.9 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 1–3 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dianella WE1.8

Western Knights1.9

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DIANELLA WE · PPG 1.00

WESTERN KNIGHTS · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

Dianella WE (H) 39.7%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -8.7%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -14.5%

Western Knights (A) 38.0%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -5.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dianella WE face Western Knights in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dianella WE a 40% chance, the draw 22% and Western Knights 38%, so Dianella WE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Dianella WE and 1.9 for Western Knights (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dianella WE are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.71 for Western Knights. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +5.8%. This match finished 1-0.

Dianella WE vs Western Knights Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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