Armadale vs Bayswater Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Australia - Western Australia NPL Regular Season - 14 Saturday, June 13, 2026 07:00

Armadale PPG 1.67

VS PENDING

Bayswater PPG 1.50

HomeO15· +30.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Armadale face Bayswater in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Armadale a 34% chance, the draw 21% and Bayswater 45%, so Bayswater are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Armadale and 2.5 for Bayswater (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Armadale are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.50 for Bayswater. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +30.0%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.2%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +16.3%

Draw 21.0%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -10.9%

Away 44.7%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -21.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.0% Odds: 1.36 -0.7%

Over 3.5 53.4% Odds: 1.83 -2.3%

BTTS 67.2% Odds: 1.36 -8.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2

2nd 2-2

3rd 1-1

4th 1-3

5th 2-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Armadale

1.94

Bayswater

2.45

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -0.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -0.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: HomeO15 (+30.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5/Under 80%

BTTS/No 83%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -13.6%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.50)