Launceston Utd vs Devonport Prediction— Australia - Tasmania NPL

Australia - Tasmania NPL Regular Season - 11 Birch Avenue Saturday, June 13, 2026 06:45

Launceston Utd PPG 0.00

VS PENDING

Devonport PPG 2.50

Draw + Over 2.5· +180.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

40% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Launceston Utd face Devonport in Australia - Tasmania NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Launceston Utd a 12% chance, the draw 10% and Devonport 79%, so Devonport are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Launceston Utd and 7.1 for Devonport (8.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-5. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Launceston Utd are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 2.50 for Devonport. The best value bet our model finds is D/O25, with an expected value of +180.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 11.5%

Odds: 31.00 EV: +153.9%

Draw 10.0%

Odds: 9.75 EV: -1.5%

Away 78.5%

Odds: 1.01 EV: -20.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 81.2% Odds: 1.07 -13.1%

Over 3.5 71.0% Odds: 1.08 -23.3%

BTTS 60.3% Odds: 2.25 +35.7%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-5

2nd 1-5

3rd 0-4

4th 1-4

5th 2-5

Expected Goals (xG)

Launceston Utd

0.94

Devonport

7.07

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -13.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-13.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 87%

O2.5/Under 80%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 27%

ROI 20.6%

Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data