Glenorchy K. vs Riverside Prediction— Australia - Tasmania NPL

Australia - Tasmania NPL Regular Season - 11 KGV Park Saturday, June 13, 2026 06:45

Glenorchy K. PPG 1.50

VS PENDING

Riverside PPG 1.50

Away· +19.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Glenorchy K. face Riverside in Australia - Tasmania NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Glenorchy K. a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Riverside 35%, so Glenorchy K. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Glenorchy K. and 1.7 for Riverside (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Glenorchy K. are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.50 for Riverside. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.7%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.5%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -23.9%

Draw 21.8%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -9.6%

Away 34.7%

Odds: 3.45 EV: +19.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.9% Odds: 1.33 -13.7%

Over 3.5 42.0% Odds: 1.75 -26.5%

BTTS 63.7% Odds: 1.35 -14.0%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-2

4th 2-2

5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Glenorchy K.

1.81

Riverside

1.74

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -13.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -13.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+19.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 87%

O2.5/Under 80%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 27%

ROI 20.6%

Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.50)