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Edgeworth E. vs Cooks Hill Utd Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 06:30

Edgeworth E.

PPG 3.00 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Cooks Hill Utd

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 76.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.0% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.8%0-21.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-03.0%1-15.1%1-24.3%1-32.4%1-4+1.5%2 2-04.3%2-17.3%2-26.2%2-33.5%2-4+2.1%3 3-04.1%3-17.0%3-25.9%3-33.3%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-110.1%4+-28.5%4+-34.8%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.3% 63.7% 1.57 -14.8%

Draw 21.4% 22.7% 4.40 -3.5%

Away win 24.4% 25.0% 4.00 -1.4%

Over 2.5 73.0% 71.4% 1.40 +2.2%

Over 3.5 53.4% 53.2% 1.88 +0.4%

BTTS 66.8% 71.4% 1.40 -6.5%

Home O1.5 76.0% 73.0% 1.37 +4.1%

Away O1.5 49.4% 43.1% 2.32 +14.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 18.7%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob66.8%

H 54% / xG 2.9-1.7 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.3%

#2 3–1 7.0%

#3 2–2 6.2%

#4 3–2 5.9%

#5 1–1 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Edgeworth E.2.9

Cooks Hill Utd1.7

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

EDGEWORTH E. · PPG 3.00

COOKS HILL UTD · PPG 1.00

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=54.3%

Win probability 1X2

Edgeworth E. (H) 54.3%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -14.8%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -3.5%

Cooks Hill Utd (A) 24.4%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -1.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Edgeworth E. face Cooks Hill Utd in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Edgeworth E. a 54% chance, the draw 21% and Cooks Hill Utd 24%, so Edgeworth E. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Edgeworth E. and 1.7 for Cooks Hill Utd (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Edgeworth E. are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Cooks Hill Utd. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +14.6%. This match finished 0-1.

Edgeworth E. vs Cooks Hill Utd Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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