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UNSW vs S George Saints Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 19 The Village Green Saturday, June 13, 2026 05:00
UNSW logo UNSW PPG 2.11
VS PENDING
S George Saints logo S George Saints PPG 0.78
Home· +11.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

UNSW face S George Saints in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UNSW a 56% chance, the draw 25% and S George Saints 20%, so UNSW are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for UNSW and 0.8 for S George Saints (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UNSW are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 0.78 for S George Saints. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.0%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.5%
Odds: 2.00 EV: +11.0%
Draw 24.5%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -10.8%
Away 20.0%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -20.4%
Model lean: Home

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.9% Odds: 1.77 -13.5%
Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 2.88 -11.4%
BTTS 47.8% Odds: 1.60 -23.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

UNSW
1.75
S George Saints
0.81

Model Suggestion

Home +11.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 45%
Score Hit 43%
ROI 9.6%
Bet Hit 67% (15 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs P(Home)=55.5%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org