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Weston Bears vs Belmont Swansea Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Australia - Northern NSW NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Northern NSW NPL Regular Season - 15 Saturday, June 13, 2026 04:00
Weston Bears logo Weston Bears PPG 1.00
VS PENDING
Belmont Swansea logo Belmont Swansea PPG 1.83
Away + Over 2.5· +36.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...
48% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Weston Bears face Belmont Swansea in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Weston Bears a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Belmont Swansea 35%, so Weston Bears are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Weston Bears and 2.0 for Belmont Swansea (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Weston Bears are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.83 for Belmont Swansea. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +36.8%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.3%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -19.9%
Draw 21.9%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -12.7%
Away 34.8%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +14.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.8% Odds: 1.36 -10.5%
Over 3.5 45.2% Odds: 1.84 -16.8%
BTTS 64.7% Odds: 1.36 -12.0%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-2
3rd 2-1
4th 1-2
5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Weston Bears
2.13
Belmont Swansea
2.01

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -10.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -10.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away + Over 2.5 (+36.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 77%
BTTS/No 73%
Score Hit 40%
ROI 51.4%
Bet Hit 100% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...
48%
CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (1.83) strong but model favors Home (P=43.3%)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org