Adamstown R. vs Broadmeadow Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Australia - Northern NSW NPL Regular Season - 15 Saturday, June 13, 2026 04:00

Adamstown R. PPG 1.00

VS PENDING

Broadmeadow PPG 2.29

HomeO15· +16.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Adamstown R. face Broadmeadow in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Adamstown R. a 21% chance, the draw 21% and Broadmeadow 58%, so Broadmeadow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Adamstown R. and 2.7 for Broadmeadow (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Adamstown R. are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.29 for Broadmeadow. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +16.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 20.8%

Odds: 5.50 EV: +8.6%

Draw 21.1%

Odds: 4.33 EV: -5.2%

Away 58.1%

Odds: 1.40 EV: -18.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.8% Odds: 1.36 -10.5%

Over 3.5 42.8% Odds: 1.87 -20.0%

BTTS 63.7% Odds: 1.44 -8.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2

2nd 1-3

3rd 1-1

4th 0-2

5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Adamstown R.

1.27

Broadmeadow

2.67

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -10.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -10.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: HomeO15 (+16.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 77%

BTTS/No 73%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 51.4%

Bet Hit 100% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)