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Atletico GO vs CRB Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Regular Season - 13 ·Friday, June 12, 2026, 22:00

Atletico GO

PPG 1.33 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

CRB

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.2% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-110.1%0-25.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.0%1-113.0%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.7%2-18.4%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.3%3-13.6%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.9% 45.5% 2.20 -1.2%

Draw 27.6% 31.3% 3.20 -7.0%

Away win 27.5% 30.3% 3.30 -5.5%

Over 2.5 48.9% 45.5% 2.20 +7.6%

Over 3.5 28.1% 23.8% 4.20 +10.8%

BTTS 53.2% 54.1% 1.85 -1.6%

Home O1.5 41.6% 42.0% 2.38 -1.0%

Away O1.5 32.8% 31.3% 3.20 +5.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 118 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 22.1%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.2%

H 45% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 49% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.3%

#3 1–0 12.0%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico GO1.3

CRB1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO GO · PPG 1.33

CRB · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Atletico GO (H) 44.9%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -1.2%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -7.0%

CRB (A) 27.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico GO face CRB in Brazil - Serie B on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico GO a 45% chance, the draw 28% and CRB 28%, so Atletico GO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Atletico GO and 1.1 for CRB (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico GO are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.33 for CRB. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +10.8%. This match finished 3-3.

Atletico GO vs CRB Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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