Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction— Ireland - Premier Division

Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 20 Tolka Park· Dublin Friday, June 12, 2026 19:00

Shelbourne PPG 0.80

VS PENDING

Shamrock Rovers PPG 1.50

Away· +10.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Shelbourne face Shamrock Rovers in Ireland - Premier Division on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shelbourne a 31% chance, the draw 28% and Shamrock Rovers 42%, so Shamrock Rovers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Shelbourne and 1.4 for Shamrock Rovers (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shelbourne are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.50 for Shamrock Rovers. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.0%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.5%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -20.1%

Draw 27.5%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -5.5%

Away 42.0%

Odds: 2.62 EV: +10.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.9% Odds: 2.10 +2.7%

Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 3.75 +3.2%

BTTS 52.2% Odds: 1.77 -7.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-0

3rd 0-1

4th 1-2

5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Shelbourne

1.03

Shamrock Rovers

1.43

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+10.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 46.6%

Bet Hit 79% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.80)