Wexford vs Cork City Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 19 Ferrycarrig Park· Wexford Friday, June 12, 2026 18:45

Wexford PPG 2.11

VS PENDING

Cork City PPG 2.00

HomeO15· +12.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Wexford face Cork City in Ireland - First Division on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wexford a 19% chance, the draw 25% and Cork City 56%, so Cork City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Wexford and 1.5 for Cork City (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wexford are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 2.00 for Cork City. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +12.2%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 19.4%

Odds: 4.40 EV: -8.8%

Draw 24.7%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -6.7%

Away 55.9%

Odds: 1.77 EV: -1.1%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.9% Odds: 1.90 -7.1%

Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 3.25 -5.2%

BTTS 48.5% Odds: 1.75 -15.1%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-1

3rd 0-0

4th 0-2

5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Wexford

0.78

Cork City

1.53

Model SuggestionAway -1.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -1.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: HomeO15 (+12.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 43%

BTTS/No 43%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -14.2%

Bet Hit 33% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.11), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)