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Wexford vs Cork City Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Regular Season - 19 ·Friday, June 12, 2026, 18:45

Wexford

PPG 2.11 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Cork City

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-115.2%0-211.6%0-35.9%0-4+3.2%1 1-07.7%1-111.8%1-29.1%1-34.6%1-4+2.5%2 2-03.0%2-14.6%2-23.5%2-31.8%2-4+1.0%3 3-00.8%3-11.2%3-20.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 19.4% 22.7% 4.40 -8.8%

Draw 24.7% 27.8% 3.60 -6.7%

Away win 55.9% 56.5% 1.77 -1.1%

Over 2.5 48.9% 52.6% 1.90 -7.1%

Over 3.5 28.1% 30.8% 3.25 -5.2%

BTTS 48.5% 57.1% 1.75 -15.1%

Home O1.5 33.0% 29.4% 3.40 +12.2%

Away O1.5 49.4% 54.1% 1.85 -8.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -5.2%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob48.5%

A 56% / xG 0.8-1.5 / U2.5 49% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 0–1 15.2%

#3 0–0 10.0%

#4 0–2✓ 11.6%

#5 1–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wexford0.8

Cork City1.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

WEXFORD · PPG 2.11

CORK CITY · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.11), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Wexford (H) 19.4%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -8.8%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.7%

Cork City (A) 55.9%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -1.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wexford face Cork City in Ireland - First Division on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wexford a 19% chance, the draw 25% and Cork City 56%, so Cork City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Wexford and 1.5 for Cork City (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wexford are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 2.00 for Cork City. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +12.2%. This match finished 0-2.

Wexford vs Cork City Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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