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Treaty Utd vs Bray Wanderers Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Ireland - First Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 19 Markets Field· Limerick Friday, June 12, 2026 18:45
Treaty Utd logo Treaty Utd PPG 1.22
VS PENDING
Bray Wanderers logo Bray Wanderers PPG 0.89
Home· +7.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Treaty Utd face Bray Wanderers in Ireland - First Division on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Treaty Utd a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Bray Wanderers 46%, so Bray Wanderers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Treaty Utd and 1.4 for Bray Wanderers (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Treaty Utd are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 0.89 for Bray Wanderers. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.0%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.0%
Odds: 3.85 EV: +7.0%
Draw 24.9%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -4.7%
Away 46.1%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -14.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.4% Odds: 1.70 -7.5%
Over 3.5 32.5% Odds: 2.80 -9.0%
BTTS 55.7% Odds: 1.62 -9.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Treaty Utd
1.09
Bray Wanderers
1.44

Model Suggestion

BTTS -9.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+7.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5/Under 43%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -14.2%
Bet Hit 33% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.22) > Away POOR (0.89)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org