Kerry vs Athlone Town Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 19 Mounthawk Park· Tralee Friday, June 12, 2026 18:45

Kerry PPG 1.44

VS PENDING

Athlone Town PPG 0.78

Draw· +0.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Kerry face Athlone Town in Ireland - First Division on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kerry a 42% chance, the draw 31% and Athlone Town 27%, so Kerry are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kerry and 0.8 for Athlone Town (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kerry are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.78 for Athlone Town. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.1%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.8%

Odds: 2.22 EV: -7.2%

Draw 30.8%

Odds: 3.25 EV: +0.1%

Away 27.4%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -7.4%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.2% Odds: 2.10 -9.3%

Over 3.5 22.9% Odds: 3.85 -7.1%

BTTS 47.8% Odds: 1.83 -12.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0

2nd 1-1

3rd 1-0

4th 0-1

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Kerry

1.05

Athlone Town

0.81

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 43%

BTTS/No 43%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -14.2%

Bet Hit 33% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.78)