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St. Patricks vs Drogheda Utd Prediction— Ireland - Premier Division

Ireland - Premier Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 20 Richmond Park· Dublin Friday, June 12, 2026 18:45
St. Patricks logo St. Patricks PPG 2.11
VS PENDING
Drogheda Utd logo Drogheda Utd PPG 0.89
Away· +54.6% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

St. Patricks face Drogheda Utd in Ireland - Premier Division on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Patricks a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Drogheda Utd 20%, so St. Patricks are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for St. Patricks and 0.9 for Drogheda Utd (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Patricks are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 0.89 for Drogheda Utd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +54.6%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.3%
Odds: 1.34 EV: -21.9%
Draw 22.0%
Odds: 4.55 EV: +0.1%
Away 19.7%
Odds: 9.70 EV: +54.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.2% Odds: 1.80 +10.2%
Over 3.5 39.7% Odds: 3.00 +19.1%
BTTS 55.7% Odds: 2.05 +14.2%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Patricks
2.19
Drogheda Utd
0.86

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +10.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Away(+54.6%)

League Track Record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 51%
ROI 46.6%
Bet Hit 79% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs P(Home)=58.3%

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