Galway Utd vs Dundalk Prediction— Ireland - Premier Division

Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 20 Eamonn Deacy Park· Galway Friday, June 12, 2026 18:45

Galway Utd PPG 1.38

VS PENDING

Dundalk PPG 1.00

HomeO15· +15.1% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Galway Utd face Dundalk in Ireland - Premier Division on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Galway Utd a 42% chance, the draw 23% and Dundalk 35%, so Galway Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Galway Utd and 1.7 for Dundalk (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Galway Utd are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.00 for Dundalk. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +15.1%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.5%

Odds: 2.66 EV: +10.4%

Draw 23.1%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -10.1%

Away 35.4%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -15.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.2% Odds: 1.62 +4.0%

Over 3.5 41.5% Odds: 2.60 +7.9%

BTTS 63.7% Odds: 1.50 -4.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-2

4th 2-2

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Galway Utd

1.73

Dundalk

1.68

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +4.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: HomeO15(+15.1%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 46.6%

Bet Hit 79% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)