Today / Georgia - Erovnuli Liga / Dinamo Batumi vs Dila Gori

Dinamo Batumi vs Dila Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Regular Season - 17 ·Friday, June 12, 2026, 17:00

Dinamo Batumi logo
Dinamo Batumi
PPG 1.75 · HOME
3 – 2
FULL TIME
Dila Gori logo
Dila Gori
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.4%0-112.6%0-26.0%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.3%1-113.5%1-26.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.6%2-17.2%2-23.4%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.7%3-12.6%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 41.8% 29.4% 3.40 +42.1%
Draw 30.4% 34.5% 2.90 -11.8%
Away win 27.8% 50.0% 2.00 -26.6%
Over 2.5 43.2% 46.5% 2.15 -7.1%
Over 3.5 22.8% 30.5% 3.28 -15.1%
BTTS 47.8% 55.6% 1.80 -14.0%
Home O1.5 36.8% 32.9% 3.04 +11.9%
Away O1.5 26.6% 48.1% 2.08 -26.8%

League track record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5 50%
BTTS 46%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -5.3%
Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-2
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.8%

H 42% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%
#2 0–0 13.4%
#3 1–0 14.3%
#4 0–1 12.6%
#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Batumi1.1
Dila Gori0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO BATUMI · PPG 1.75

DILA GORI · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Batumi (H) 41.8%
ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +42.1%
Draw 30.4%
ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -11.8%
Dila Gori (A) 27.8%
ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -26.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Batumi face Dila Gori in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Batumi a 42% chance, the draw 30% and Dila Gori 28%, so Dinamo Batumi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Dinamo Batumi and 0.9 for Dila Gori (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Batumi are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.50 for Dila Gori. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +42.1%. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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