EBK vs MuSa Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B

Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B Group B Keski-Espoon urheilukeskus Friday, June 12, 2026 16:30

EBK PPG 1.75

VS PENDING

MuSa PPG 0.25

Home + Over 2.5· +16.5% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

EBK face MuSa in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives EBK a 63% chance, the draw 18% and MuSa 19%, so EBK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for EBK and 1.2 for MuSa (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, EBK are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.25 for MuSa. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +16.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.4%

Odds: 1.40 EV: -11.2%

Draw 18.1%

Odds: 4.50 EV: -11.1%

Away 18.5%

Odds: 5.50 EV: +1.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.0% Odds: 1.28 -6.6%

Over 3.5 53.4% Odds: 1.67 -10.8%

BTTS 63.7% Odds: 1.36 -13.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 4-1

4th 3-0

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

EBK

3.45

MuSa

1.17

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -6.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home + Over 2.5 (+16.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 33%

BTTS/No 33%

Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=63.4%