Panevezys vs TransINVEST Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Lithuania - A Lyga Regular Season - 17 Aukstaitijos Stadium Friday, June 12, 2026 15:30

Panevezys PPG 1.71

VS PENDING

TransINVEST PPG 1.63

HomeO15· +10.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Panevezys face TransINVEST in Lithuania - A Lyga on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Panevezys a 23% chance, the draw 26% and TransINVEST 52%, so TransINVEST are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Panevezys and 1.7 for TransINVEST (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Panevezys are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.63 for TransINVEST. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +10.1%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.5%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -16.8%

Draw 25.7%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -13.7%

Away 51.8%

Odds: 2.10 EV: +8.8%

Model lean: BTTS

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.3% Odds: 1.85 +0.5%

Over 3.5 32.5% Odds: 3.25 +5.6%

BTTS 55.6% Odds: 1.70 -5.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-1

3rd 0-2

4th 1-2

5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Panevezys

0.98

TransINVEST

1.70

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.5% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 
Raw EV leader: HomeO15(+10.1%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%

O2.5/Under 44%

BTTS/No 44%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -56.0%

Bet Hit 20% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away GOOD (1.63)