Manly Utd vs Sydney Utd Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 19 Cromer Park· Sydney Friday, June 12, 2026 09:30

Manly Utd PPG 1.50

VS PENDING

Sydney Utd PPG 2.25

Home· +1.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Manly Utd face Sydney Utd in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Manly Utd a 27% chance, the draw 29% and Sydney Utd 43%, so Sydney Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Manly Utd and 1.4 for Sydney Utd (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Manly Utd are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.25 for Sydney Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.7%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.4%

Odds: 3.75 EV: +1.7%

Draw 29.2%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +1.3%

Away 43.4%

Odds: 1.83 EV: -20.6%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.7% Odds: 1.85 -19.1%

Over 3.5 24.6% Odds: 3.20 -12.8%

BTTS 47.8% Odds: 1.73 -17.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-1

3rd 0-0

4th 0-2

5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Manly Utd

0.80

Sydney Utd

1.38

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 9.6%

Bet Hit 67% (15 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home GOOD (1.50)