Ulfstind vs Floya Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 Regular Season - 10 Thursday, June 11, 2026 17:00

Ulfstind PPG 0.75

VS PENDING

Floya PPG 1.75

HomeO15· +30.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ulfstind face Floya in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Thursday, June 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ulfstind a 17% chance, the draw 18% and Floya 65%, so Floya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Ulfstind and 3.6 for Floya (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ulfstind are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.75 for Floya. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +30.4%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 16.8%

Odds: 5.50 EV: -4.6%

Draw 18.0%

Odds: 5.50 EV: -0.6%

Away 65.2%

Odds: 1.33 EV: -13.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 80.9% Odds: 1.20 -2.9%

Over 3.5 58.3% Odds: 1.51 -12.0%

BTTS 67.2% Odds: 1.36 -8.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-3

2nd 1-4

3rd 2-3

4th 1-2

5th 2-4

Expected Goals (xG)

Ulfstind

1.77

Floya

3.63

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -2.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: HomeO15 (+30.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5/Under 79%

BTTS/No 79%

Score Hit 21%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.75)