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Finnsnes vs Strømsgodset II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Finnsnes

PPG 2.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Strømsgodset II

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.65 for Home, form 2.67 vs 1.20 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.2%0-21.3%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-05.3%1-16.2%1-23.6%1-31.4%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.5%2-18.6%2-25.0%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-07.0%3-18.1%3-24.7%3-31.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-09.7%4+-111.3%4+-26.5%4+-32.5%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.0% — — —

Draw 16.8% — — —

Away win 18.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 48.3% — — —

BTTS 62.6% — — —

Home O1.5 67.1% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 20%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.6%

H 65% / xG 2.8-1.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.6%

#2 3–1 8.1%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 1–1 6.2%

#5 3–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Finnsnes2.8

Strømsgodset II1.2

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 48.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FINNSNES · PPG 2.67

STRØMSGODSET II · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.65 for Home, form 2.67 vs 1.20 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Finnsnes (H) 65.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Strømsgodset II (A) 18.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Finnsnes face Strømsgodset II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Finnsnes a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Strømsgodset II 18%, so Finnsnes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Finnsnes and 1.2 for Strømsgodset II (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Finnsnes are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.20 for Strømsgodset II.

Finnsnes vs Strømsgodset II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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