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Skjervøy vs Alta Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Skjervøy

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Alta

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-17.8%0-26.7%0-33.8%0-4+2.4%1 1-06.3%1-110.8%1-29.2%1-35.2%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.4%2-17.4%2-26.3%2-33.6%2-4+2.2%3 3-02.0%3-13.4%3-22.9%3-31.6%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.7% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 41.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 62.7% — — —

Home O1.5 39.0% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 20%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob62.7%

A 41% / xG 1.4-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 2–1 7.4%

#4 0–2 6.7%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skjervøy1.4

Alta1.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SKJERVØY · PPG 1.50

ALTA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Skjervøy (H) 35.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Alta (A) 41.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Skjervøy face Alta in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skjervøy a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Alta 41%, so Alta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Skjervøy and 1.7 for Alta (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skjervøy are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Alta.

Skjervøy vs Alta Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 Predictions