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Kongsvinger II vs Skedsmo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 13 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 17:00

Kongsvinger II

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Skedsmo

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-13.9%0-23.6%0-32.3%0-4+1.6%1 1-04.2%1-17.8%1-27.3%1-34.5%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.2%2-17.8%2-27.3%2-34.5%2-4+3.2%3 3-02.8%3-15.2%3-24.9%3-33.0%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-14.1%4+-23.8%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 33.7% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 49.6% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 55.7% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 85%

BTTS 80%

Score Hit 25%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.5%

H 45% / xG 2.0-1.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.8%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kongsvinger II2.0

Skedsmo1.9

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 49.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KONGSVINGER II · PPG 1.60

SKEDSMO · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kongsvinger II (H) 44.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Skedsmo (A) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kongsvinger II face Skedsmo in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kongsvinger II a 45% chance, the draw 22% and Skedsmo 34%, so Kongsvinger II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Kongsvinger II and 1.9 for Skedsmo (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kongsvinger II are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 2.00 for Skedsmo.

Kongsvinger II vs Skedsmo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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