Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 / Finnsnes vs Kongsvinger B

Finnsnes vs Kongsvinger B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 15:00

Finnsnes

PPG 2.50 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Kongsvinger B

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=52.9%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.9%0-21.8%0-31.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-02.7%1-15.1%1-24.8%1-33.1%1-4+2.2%2 2-03.6%2-16.9%2-26.6%2-34.2%2-4+3.0%3 3-03.3%3-16.3%3-26.0%3-33.8%3-4+2.8%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-18.2%4+-27.8%4+-35.0%4+-4+3.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.9% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% — — —

BTTS 65.9% — — —

Home O1.5 75.5% — — —

Away O1.5 56.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 20%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob65.9%

H 53% / xG 2.7-1.9 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 6.9%

#2 2–2 6.6%

#3 3–1 6.3%

#4 3–2 6.0%

#5 1–1 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Finnsnes2.7

Kongsvinger B1.9

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FINNSNES · PPG 2.50

KONGSVINGER B · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=52.9%

Win probability 1X2

Finnsnes (H) 52.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kongsvinger B (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Finnsnes face Kongsvinger B in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Finnsnes a 53% chance, the draw 21% and Kongsvinger B 26%, so Finnsnes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Finnsnes and 1.9 for Kongsvinger B (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Finnsnes are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.50 for Kongsvinger B. This match finished 1-0.

Finnsnes vs Kongsvinger B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 Predictions