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Tromso B vs Stromsgodset B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 9 ·Monday, June 1, 2026, 11:00

Tromso B

PPG 1.25 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Stromsgodset B

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-16.4%0-26.7%0-34.6%0-4+3.9%1 1-04.3%1-19.0%1-29.3%1-36.5%1-4+5.4%2 2-03.0%2-16.3%2-26.5%2-34.5%2-4+3.8%3 3-01.4%3-12.9%3-23.1%3-32.1%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.4%4+-21.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.6% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 50.1% — — —

Over 2.5 65.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 40.9% — — —

Away O1.5 61.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 20%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.4%

A 50% / xG 1.4-2.1 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 0–2 6.7%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 1–3 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tromso B1.4

Stromsgodset B2.1

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TROMSO B · PPG 1.25

STROMSGODSET B · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Tromso B (H) 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stromsgodset B (A) 50.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tromso B face Stromsgodset B in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Monday, June 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tromso B a 28% chance, the draw 22% and Stromsgodset B 50%, so Stromsgodset B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Tromso B and 2.1 for Stromsgodset B (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tromso B are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 2.00 for Stromsgodset B. This match finished 4-1.

Tromso B vs Stromsgodset B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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