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Skjetten vs Bossekop Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 10:00

Skjetten

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bossekop

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.40 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.8%0-21.4%0-30.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-03.5%1-15.3%1-24.0%1-32.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-05.0%2-17.7%2-25.8%2-32.9%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.9%3-17.4%3-25.6%3-32.9%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-111.1%4+-28.4%4+-34.3%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.9% — — —

Draw 17.8% — — —

Away win 24.3% — — —

Over 2.5 72.6% — — —

Over 3.5 52.0% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 20%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob69.5%

H 58% / xG 2.9-1.5 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.7%

#2 3–1 7.4%

#3 1–1 5.3%

#4 2–2 5.8%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skjetten2.9

Bossekop1.5

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SKJETTEN · PPG 0.67

BOSSEKOP · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.40 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Skjetten (H) 57.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bossekop (A) 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Skjetten face Bossekop in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skjetten a 58% chance, the draw 18% and Bossekop 24%, so Skjetten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Skjetten and 1.5 for Bossekop (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skjetten are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.67 for Bossekop.

Skjetten vs Bossekop Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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