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Tromsø II vs Ulfstind Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Tromsø II

PPG 0.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ulfstind

PPG 0.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.58 for Home, form 0.83 vs 0.17 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.4%0-21.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-02.8%1-14.4%1-23.5%1-31.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-04.4%2-16.9%2-25.4%2-32.8%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.7%3-17.3%3-25.7%3-33.0%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-08.1%4+-112.6%4+-29.9%4+-35.2%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.1% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 19.3% — — —

Over 2.5 75.4% — — —

Over 3.5 53.4% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 20%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob69.5%

H 64% / xG 3.1-1.6 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.3%

#2 2–1 6.9%

#3 4–1 5.7%

#4 3–2 5.7%

#5 2–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tromsø II3.1

Ulfstind1.6

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.4% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TROMSØ II · PPG 0.83

ULFSTIND · PPG 0.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.58 for Home, form 0.83 vs 0.17 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Tromsø II (H) 64.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ulfstind (A) 19.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tromsø II face Ulfstind in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tromsø II a 64% chance, the draw 17% and Ulfstind 19%, so Tromsø II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Tromsø II and 1.6 for Ulfstind (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tromsø II are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 0.17 for Ulfstind.

Tromsø II vs Ulfstind Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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