York City vs Yeovil Town Prediction— England - National League

England - National League Regular Season - 45 York Community Stadium· York Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:30

York City PPG 2.36

3-0 HIT CS2

Yeovil Town PPG 0.86

Over2.5· -5.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

York City face Yeovil Town in England - National League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives York City a 85% chance, the draw 11% and Yeovil Town 5%, so York City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for York City and 0.6 for Yeovil Town (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, York City are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 0.86 for Yeovil Town. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 84.6%

Odds: 1.11 EV: -6.1%

Draw 10.5%

Odds: 6.80 EV: -28.6%

Away 4.8%

Odds: 18.00 EV: -13.6%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 70.0% Odds: 1.35 -5.5%

Over 3.5 48.8% Odds: 1.85 -9.7%

BTTS 43.7% Odds: 2.15 -6.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✔

3rd 4-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

York City

3.00

Yeovil Town

0.62

Model SuggestionHome -6.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -6.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.36), Away POOR (0.86) - Strong consensus