Goias vs Novorizontino Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Brazil - Serie B Regular Season - 12 Wednesday, June 10, 2026 23:00

Goias PPG 2.40

VS PENDING

Novorizontino PPG 1.17

Draw· +1.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Goias face Novorizontino in Brazil - Serie B on Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Goias a 37% chance, the draw 34% and Novorizontino 29%, so Goias are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Goias and 0.9 for Novorizontino (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Goias are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.17 for Novorizontino. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +1.9%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.8%

Odds: 2.32 EV: -14.6%

Draw 34.2%

Odds: 2.98 EV: +1.9%

Away 29.0%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -2.6%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 37.8% Odds: 2.45 -7.4%

Over 3.5 18.5% Odds: 4.75 -7.3%

BTTS 47.7% Odds: 2.00 -4.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0

2nd 1-1

3rd 1-0

4th 0-1

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Goias

0.91

Novorizontino

0.88

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 42%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 106.1%

Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=36.8%