Ceara vs Avai Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Brazil - Serie B Regular Season - 12 Wednesday, June 10, 2026 23:00

Ceara PPG 1.33

VS PENDING

Avai PPG 1.00

Away· +8.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ceara face Avai in Brazil - Serie B on Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ceara a 46% chance, the draw 29% and Avai 25%, so Ceara are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ceara and 0.9 for Avai (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ceara are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Avai. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.9%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.9%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -20.6%

Draw 29.4%

Odds: 3.65 EV: +4.4%

Away 24.7%

Odds: 4.65 EV: +8.9%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.1% Odds: 2.00 -5.8%

Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 3.55 -0.1%

BTTS 47.8% Odds: 1.85 -11.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-0

3rd 1-0

4th 2-0

5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Ceara

1.21

Avai

0.87

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 42%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 106.1%

Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)