Braintree Town vs Rochdale Prediction— England - National League

England - National League Regular Season - 45 Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium· Braintree Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:30

Braintree Town PPG 1.00

1-2 HIT CS5

Rochdale PPG 2.14

Draw· +2.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Braintree Town face Rochdale in England - National League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Braintree Town a 11% chance, the draw 21% and Rochdale 69%, so Rochdale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Braintree Town and 1.9 for Rochdale (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Braintree Town are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.14 for Rochdale. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 10.5%

Odds: 8.75 EV: -8.1%

Draw 20.5%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +2.5%

Away 69.0%

Odds: 1.28 EV: -11.7%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.1% Odds: 1.53 -31.0%

Over 3.5 23.8% Odds: 2.35 -44.1%

BTTS 37.5% Odds: 1.85 -30.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 0-3 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 1-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Braintree Town

0.58

Rochdale

1.90

Model SuggestionAway -11.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -11.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+2.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)