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Sydney Olympic vs SD Raiders Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 17 ·Wednesday, June 10, 2026, 09:30

Sydney Olympic

PPG 0.50 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

SD Raiders

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.2% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-16.2%0-25.9%0-33.7%0-4+2.7%1 1-05.0%1-19.4%1-28.9%1-35.6%1-4+4.1%2 2-03.8%2-17.2%2-26.8%2-34.3%2-4+3.1%3 3-01.9%3-13.7%3-23.5%3-32.2%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.0%4+-21.9%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.9% 34.5% 2.90 -4.6%

Draw 24.3% 28.6% 3.50 -9.0%

Away win 42.8% 47.6% 2.10 -10.1%

Over 2.5 64.2% 61.7% 1.62 +4.0%

Over 3.5 39.8% 38.5% 2.60 +3.5%

BTTS 61.6% 66.7% 1.50 -7.6%

Home O1.5 46.3% 44.4% 2.25 +4.2%

Away O1.5 49.4% 54.1% 1.85 -8.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 119 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -13.6%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob61.6%

A 43% / xG 1.5-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.4%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sydney Olympic1.5

SD Raiders1.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SYDNEY OLYMPIC · PPG 0.50

SD RAIDERS · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.17) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Sydney Olympic (H) 32.9%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -4.6%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -9.0%

SD Raiders (A) 42.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -10.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney Olympic face SD Raiders in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney Olympic a 33% chance, the draw 24% and SD Raiders 43%, so SD Raiders are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sydney Olympic and 1.9 for SD Raiders (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney Olympic are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.17 for SD Raiders. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +6.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Sydney Olympic vs SD Raiders Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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