Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Brazil - Serie B Regular Season - 12 Tuesday, June 9, 2026 22:00

Ponte Preta PPG 0.83

VS PENDING

Cuiaba PPG 1.20

Away· +8.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ponte Preta face Cuiaba in Brazil - Serie B on Tuesday, June 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ponte Preta a 20% chance, the draw 36% and Cuiaba 44%, so Cuiaba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Ponte Preta and 0.8 for Cuiaba (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 21% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ponte Preta are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.20 for Cuiaba. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 19.5%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -22.0%

Draw 36.4%

Odds: 2.80 EV: +1.9%

Away 44.1%

Odds: 2.46 EV: +8.5%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 21.2% Odds: 3.00 -21.8%

Over 3.5 12.2% Odds: 6.25 -14.2%

BTTS 42.9% Odds: 2.25 -3.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0

2nd 0-1

3rd 1-1

4th 1-0

5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Ponte Preta

0.43

Cuiaba

0.80

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 42%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 106.1%

Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.83) vs Away AVERAGE (1.20)