Oster vs Varnamo Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Sweden - Superettan Regular Season - 11 Visma Arena Tuesday, June 9, 2026 17:00

Oster PPG 2.00

VS PENDING

Varnamo PPG 0.60

Home + Over 2.5· +12.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Oster face Varnamo in Sweden - Superettan on Tuesday, June 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oster a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Varnamo 28%, so Oster are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Oster and 1.4 for Varnamo (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oster are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.60 for Varnamo. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +12.3%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.9%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -2.7%

Draw 22.4%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -10.3%

Away 27.7%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -2.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.5% Odds: 1.62 +4.5%

Over 3.5 42.0% Odds: 2.60 +9.2%

BTTS 63.7% Odds: 1.53 -2.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 2-2

4th 2-0

5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Oster

2.08

Varnamo

1.42

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +4.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Home + Over 2.5(+12.3%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 2.9%

Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=49.9%