Brage vs Ljungskile Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Sweden - Superettan Regular Season - 11 Domnarvsvallen· Borlange Tuesday, June 9, 2026 17:00

Brage PPG 0.50

VS PENDING

Ljungskile PPG 0.80

AwayO15· +6.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Brage face Ljungskile in Sweden - Superettan on Tuesday, June 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brage a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Ljungskile 36%, so Brage are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Brage and 1.5 for Ljungskile (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brage are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.80 for Ljungskile. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +6.2%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.9%

Odds: 2.55 EV: +1.7%

Draw 24.5%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -8.6%

Away 35.6%

Odds: 2.55 EV: -9.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.6% Odds: 1.75 +6.0%

Over 3.5 37.1% Odds: 2.80 +3.9%

BTTS 61.6% Odds: 1.55 -4.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-2

4th 2-2

5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Brage

1.54

Ljungskile

1.52

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 2.9%

Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.50) vs Away POOR (0.80)