Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Brazil - Serie B Regular Season - 12 Monday, June 8, 2026 23:00

Vila Nova PPG 2.20

VS PENDING

Botafogo SP PPG 0.83

AwayO15· +6.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Vila Nova face Botafogo SP in Brazil - Serie B on Monday, June 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vila Nova a 49% chance, the draw 30% and Botafogo SP 21%, so Vila Nova are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Vila Nova and 0.7 for Botafogo SP (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vila Nova are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 0.83 for Botafogo SP. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +6.1%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.4%

Odds: 1.96 EV: -3.2%

Draw 29.7%

Odds: 3.15 EV: -3.9%

Away 20.9%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -8.6%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 37.1% Odds: 2.35 -12.8%

Over 3.5 19.3% Odds: 4.50 -7.9%

BTTS 47.4% Odds: 2.00 -5.2%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0

2nd 1-0

3rd 1-1

4th 2-0

5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Vila Nova

1.22

Botafogo SP

0.72

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 42%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 94.4%

Bet Hit 50% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=49.4%