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America MG vs Atletico GO Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Regular Season - 12 ·Monday, June 8, 2026, 23:00

America MG

PPG 0.20 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Atletico GO

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.0%0-119.7%0-212.2%0-35.0%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.6%1-111.8%1-27.3%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-02.9%2-13.5%2-22.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.6%3-10.7%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.5% 41.7% 2.40 -27.6%

Draw 31.0% 32.3% 3.10 -3.9%

Away win 46.5% 33.3% 3.00 +39.5%

Over 2.5 37.1% 40.8% 2.45 -9.1%

Over 3.5 19.3% 21.1% 4.75 -5.0%

BTTS 47.4% 50.0% 2.00 -5.2%

Home O1.5 33.4% 36.4% 2.75 -8.2%

Away O1.5 32.0% 30.8% 3.25 +4.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 111 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.4%

A 46% / xG 0.6-1.2 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 19.7%

#2 0–0 16.0%

#3 1–1 11.8%

#4 0–2 12.2%

#5 1–0 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

America MG0.6

Atletico GO1.2

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.1% · O3.5 PROB 19.3%

Form & verdict PPG

AMERICA MG · PPG 0.20

ATLETICO GO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.20)

Win probability 1X2

America MG (H) 22.5%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -27.6%

Draw 31.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -3.9%

Atletico GO (A) 46.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +39.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

America MG face Atletico GO in Brazil - Serie B on Monday, June 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives America MG a 23% chance, the draw 31% and Atletico GO 47%, so Atletico GO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for America MG and 1.2 for Atletico GO (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, America MG are averaging 0.20 points per game versus 1.00 for Atletico GO. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +39.5%. This match finished 1-2.

America MG vs Atletico GO Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Serie B Predictions