Haverfordwest vs Llanelli Town Prediction— Wales - Premier League

Wales - Premier League Relegation Group - 32 Bridge Meadow Stadium· Haverfordwest Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:15

Haverfordwest PPG 1.53

6-0 MISS

Llanelli Town PPG 0.53

Home· -2.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Haverfordwest face Llanelli Town in Wales - Premier League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haverfordwest a 82% chance, the draw 12% and Llanelli Town 5%, so Haverfordwest are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Haverfordwest and 0.5 for Llanelli Town (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haverfordwest are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 0.53 for Llanelli Town. This match finished 6-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 82.4%

Odds: 1.18 EV: -2.8%

Draw 12.4%

Odds: 5.60 EV: -30.6%

Away 5.1%

Odds: 12.00 EV: -38.8%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.0% Odds: 1.48 -9.7%

Over 3.5 38.7% Odds: 2.20 -14.9%

BTTS 37.5% Odds: 2.00 -25.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 4-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Haverfordwest

2.63

Llanelli Town

0.52

Model SuggestionHome -2.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -2.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.53), Away POOR (0.53) - Strong consensus