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Llandudno vs Ammanford AFC Prediction— Wales - Premier League

Matchday 7 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 18:45

Llandudno

PPG 2.06 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLWL

UPCOMING

Ammanford AFC

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLDL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-14.0%0-22.1%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.4%1-18.8%1-24.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.4%2-19.8%2-25.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.0%3-17.3%3-23.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-06.5%4+-16.8%4+-23.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.3% 76.9% 1.30 -25.5%

Draw 21.3% 20.0% 5.00 +3.9%

Away win 21.4% 13.3% 7.50 +36.3%

Over 2.5 61.6% 65.4% 1.53 -5.8%

Over 3.5 40.2% 42.6% 2.35 -5.5%

BTTS 55.9% 55.6% 1.80 +0.6%

Home O1.5 66.3% 74.1% 1.35 -10.5%

Away O1.5 32.5% 23.8% 4.20 +36.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 34.2%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.9%

H 57% / xG 2.2-1.0 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 3–1 7.3%

#5 1–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Llandudno2.2

Ammanford AFC1.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LLANDUDNO · PPG 2.06

AMMANFORD AFC · PPG 1.06

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.18 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Llandudno (H) 57.3%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -25.5%

Draw 21.3%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +3.9%

Ammanford AFC (A) 21.4%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV +36.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Llandudno face Ammanford AFC in Wales - Premier League on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Llandudno a 57% chance, the draw 21% and Ammanford AFC 21%, so Llandudno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Llandudno and 1.0 for Ammanford AFC (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Llandudno are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 1.06 for Ammanford AFC. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +66.9%.

Llandudno vs Ammanford AFC Prediction— Wales - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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