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Angelholm vs Olympic Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra - 11 ·Monday, June 8, 2026, 17:00

Angelholm

PPG 0.60 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Olympic

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-16.4%0-24.4%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.9%1-110.9%1-27.5%1-33.4%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.7%2-19.2%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.7%3-15.2%3-23.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.2%4+-22.2%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.8% 45.5% 2.20 +0.8%

Draw 25.3% 28.2% 3.55 -6.1%

Away win 28.9% 36.4% 2.75 -12.3%

Over 2.5 61.3% 61.7% 1.62 -0.7%

Over 3.5 39.0% 40.0% 2.50 -2.5%

BTTS 61.4% 66.7% 1.50 -7.9%

Home O1.5 55.0% 54.1% 1.85 +1.8%

Away O1.5 32.0% 46.5% 2.15 -31.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 34%

ROI 10.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.4%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.9%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 0–0 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Angelholm1.7

Olympic1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ANGELHOLM · PPG 0.60

OLYMPIC · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.60), Away POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Angelholm (H) 45.8%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +0.8%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -6.1%

Olympic (A) 28.9%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -12.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Angelholm face Olympic in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Monday, June 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Angelholm a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Olympic 29%, so Angelholm are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Angelholm and 1.4 for Olympic (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Angelholm are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.60 for Olympic. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +1.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Angelholm vs Olympic Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

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