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Stockholm Inter vs Vasalund Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra - 11 ·Monday, June 8, 2026, 17:00

Stockholm Inter

PPG 1.40 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Vasalund

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-14.8%0-23.1%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-07.2%1-19.5%1-26.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.2%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.8%3-16.4%3-24.2%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-15.1%4+-23.3%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% 57.8% 1.73 -13.7%

Draw 22.6% 26.3% 3.80 -8.5%

Away win 27.5% 25.6% 3.90 +4.3%

Over 2.5 64.1% 65.4% 1.53 -1.9%

Over 3.5 40.9% 42.6% 2.35 -3.9%

BTTS 61.8% 66.7% 1.50 -7.3%

Home O1.5 55.0% 63.7% 1.57 -13.7%

Away O1.5 32.0% 39.2% 2.55 -18.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.8%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.2%

#4 3–1 6.4%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stockholm Inter2.0

Vasalund1.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.9%

Form & verdict PPG

STOCKHOLM INTER · PPG 1.40

VASALUND · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Stockholm Inter (H) 49.9%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -13.7%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -8.5%

Vasalund (A) 27.5%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +4.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stockholm Inter face Vasalund in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Monday, June 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stockholm Inter a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Vasalund 28%, so Stockholm Inter are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Stockholm Inter and 1.3 for Vasalund (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stockholm Inter are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.00 for Vasalund. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +7.1%. This match finished 4-1.

Stockholm Inter vs Vasalund Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

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