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Colon Santa Fe vs Ciudad Bolivar Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 17 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 20:00

Colon Santa Fe

PPG 2.25 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Ciudad Bolivar

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-028.2%0-117.4%0-25.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.3%1-111.3%1-23.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-06.0%2-13.7%2-21.1%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.3%3-10.8%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.8% 59.9% 1.67 -43.5%

Draw 37.6% 32.3% 3.10 +16.6%

Away win 28.7% 16.7% 6.00 +43.3%

Over 2.5 22.9% 34.7% 2.88 -20.4%

Over 3.5 12.3% 15.4% 6.50 -12.0%

BTTS 44.2% 40.0% 2.50 +10.5%

Home O1.5 33.7% 44.4% 2.25 -24.2%

Away O1.5 19.3% 12.5% 8.00 +32.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.2%

D 38% / xG 0.7-0.6 / U2.5 23% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 28.2%

#2 1–0 18.3%

#3 0–1 17.4%

#4 1–1 11.3%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Colon Santa Fe0.7

Ciudad Bolivar0.6

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 22.9% · O3.5 PROB 12.3%

Form & verdict PPG

COLON SANTA FE · PPG 2.25

CIUDAD BOLIVAR · PPG 2.00

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.25), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Colon Santa Fe (H) 33.8%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -43.5%

Draw 37.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +16.6%

Ciudad Bolivar (A) 28.7%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +43.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Colon Santa Fe face Ciudad Bolivar in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Colon Santa Fe a 34% chance, the draw 38% and Ciudad Bolivar 29%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Colon Santa Fe and 0.6 for Ciudad Bolivar (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Colon Santa Fe are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 2.00 for Ciudad Bolivar. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +43.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Colon Santa Fe vs Ciudad Bolivar Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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