Colon Santa Fe vs Ciudad Bolivar Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 17 Sunday, June 7, 2026 20:00

Colon Santa Fe PPG 2.25

VS PENDING

Ciudad Bolivar PPG 2.00

Away· +43.3% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Colon Santa Fe face Ciudad Bolivar in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Colon Santa Fe a 34% chance, the draw 38% and Ciudad Bolivar 29%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Colon Santa Fe and 0.6 for Ciudad Bolivar (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Colon Santa Fe are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 2.00 for Ciudad Bolivar. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +43.3%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.8%

Odds: 1.67 EV: -43.5%

Draw 37.6%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +16.6%

Away 28.7%

Odds: 6.00 EV: +43.3%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 22.9% Odds: 2.88 -20.4%

Over 3.5 12.3% Odds: 6.50 -12.0%

BTTS 44.2% Odds: 2.50 +10.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0

2nd 1-0

3rd 0-1

4th 1-1

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Colon Santa Fe

0.65

Ciudad Bolivar

0.62

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 105 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 75%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 73%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.25), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)