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Godoy Cruz vs Atletico Mitre Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 17 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 19:30

Godoy Cruz

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Atletico Mitre

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.2%0-112.2%0-23.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.1%1-112.1%1-23.7%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.0%2-16.0%2-21.8%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.3%3-12.0%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% 59.5% 1.68 -27.3%

Draw 33.8% 32.3% 3.10 +4.8%

Away win 23.0% 17.9% 5.60 +17.3%

Over 2.5 36.5% 35.1% 2.85 +4.0%

Over 3.5 19.2% 15.4% 6.50 +14.9%

BTTS 47.4% 40.0% 2.50 +18.5%

Home O1.5 36.7% 44.4% 2.25 -17.4%

Away O1.5 19.3% 16.7% 6.00 +9.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.4%

H 43% / xG 1.0-0.6 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.2%

#2 1–0 20.1%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 0–1 12.2%

#5 2–0 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Godoy Cruz1.0

Atletico Mitre0.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.5% · O3.5 PROB 19.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GODOY CRUZ · PPG 2.00

ATLETICO MITRE · PPG 0.88

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=43.3%

Win probability 1X2

Godoy Cruz (H) 43.3%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -27.3%

Draw 33.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +4.8%

Atletico Mitre (A) 23.0%

ODDS 5.60 · IMPLIED 17.9% EV +17.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Godoy Cruz face Atletico Mitre in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Godoy Cruz a 43% chance, the draw 34% and Atletico Mitre 23%, so Godoy Cruz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Godoy Cruz and 0.6 for Atletico Mitre (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Godoy Cruz are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.88 for Atletico Mitre. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +18.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Godoy Cruz vs Atletico Mitre Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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