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Agropecuario vs Patronato Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 17 Ofelia Rosenzuaig· Buenos Aires Sunday, June 7, 2026 19:00
Agropecuario logo Agropecuario PPG 1.38
VS PENDING
Patronato logo Patronato PPG 0.88
Draw· +22.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Agropecuario face Patronato in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Agropecuario a 36% chance, the draw 37% and Patronato 27%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Agropecuario and 0.6 for Patronato (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Agropecuario are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.88 for Patronato. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +22.3%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.2%
Odds: 1.95 EV: -29.4%
Draw 36.5%
Odds: 3.35 EV: +22.3%
Away 27.3%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -4.3%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 22.9% Odds: 2.88 -20.4%
Over 3.5 12.3% Odds: 6.00 -15.7%
BTTS 44.2% Odds: 2.20 -2.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Agropecuario
0.70
Patronato
0.56

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 105 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 75%
BTTS/No 67%
Score Hit 73%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.88)

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