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Chacarita J. vs Temperley Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 17 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 18:30

Chacarita J.

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Temperley

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.6%0-114.7%0-24.6%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.4%1-112.1%1-23.8%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.9%2-15.0%2-21.5%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.2%3-11.4%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 44.4% 2.25 -18.1%

Draw 35.6% 30.3% 3.30 +17.5%

Away win 28.0% 34.5% 2.90 -11.3%

Over 2.5 33.0% 34.7% 2.88 -5.0%

Over 3.5 18.5% 16.7% 6.00 +6.6%

BTTS 44.2% 44.4% 2.25 -0.5%

Home O1.5 33.7% 30.8% 3.25 +9.5%

Away O1.5 19.3% 25.0% 4.00 -13.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.2%

D 36% / xG 0.8-0.6 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 23.6%

#2 1–0 19.4%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 0–1✓ 14.7%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chacarita J.0.8

Temperley0.6

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CHACARITA J. · PPG 2.00

TEMPERLEY · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=36.4%

Win probability 1X2

Chacarita J. (H) 36.4%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -18.1%

Draw 35.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +17.5%

Temperley (A) 28.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -11.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Chacarita J. face Temperley in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chacarita J. a 36% chance, the draw 36% and Temperley 28%, so Chacarita J. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Chacarita J. and 0.6 for Temperley (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chacarita J. are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Temperley. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +17.5%. This match finished 0-1.

Chacarita J. vs Temperley Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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